A Bloody Finish to August 2025
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are feeling the warmth. BTC has dropped to almost $110K, whereas ETH slipped under $4,360 amid a $15 billion choices expiry and the looming month-to-month shut. Merchants are calling this a manipulation play by whales to flush out leverage, however the worry is actual: might BTC really break under the $100K psychological line in September 2025?
Choices Expiry and Market Video games
Traditionally, huge expiry days create sharp, sudden dumps as market makers hedge positions and drive liquidations. With BTC open curiosity sky-high, the timing of this sell-off isn’t any coincidence. Comparable setups in previous cycles (2017, 2021) present that when expiry passes, markets typically stabilize—however solely after a brutal shakeout. September might open with this similar situation, leaving merchants on edge.
Macro Image: International Liquidity is Rising
Regardless of the panic, there’s a robust bullish drive lurking within the background. International M2 liquidity simply hit a brand new all-time excessive, and Bitcoin has traditionally adopted liquidity development with a slight lag. The divergence we’re seeing now—liquidity pumping whereas BTC dips—means that this correction might solely be short-term and that September’s early weak point might arrange a stronger rebound later within the month.
September 2025: Bearish Begin or Bullish Setup?
Historically, September is considered one of Bitcoin’s weakest months. Submit-halving years have seen messy Q3 motion earlier than huge This fall rallies. The primary days of September might lengthen the present weak point, with BTC liable to testing the 107K–103K zone and ETH focusing on $4,100–$4,050 if promoting strain continues.
But when BTC reclaims 113.5K–116K, and ETH recovers 4.45K–4.60K, the market might flip quick, turning September into the launchpad for a robust This fall rally.
What Merchants Ought to Watch
- Bearish Break: BTC slips below 109K, confirming targets at 107K → 103K. ETH dangers a slide to 4.10K.
- Bullish Reclaim: BTC breaks 116K, ETH clears 4.60K, confirming renewed momentum.
- Liquidity Sign: Rising M2 means that dips in September could also be short-lived—positioning issues greater than panic.
The headlines might scream crash, however historical past says this seems to be extra like a shakeout throughout September quite than the top of the bull cycle. Sure, Bitcoin might briefly flirt with the $100K stage in September 2025, however the macro liquidity wave remains to be pointing larger. If the month begins bearish, the larger image stays: This fall might be the rally that no person desires to overlook.
