As Bitcoin (BTC) struggles to carry above the $100,000 assist, there are rising considerations that the asset might crash to the $50,000 mark.
On this regard, insights by OpenAI’s ChatGPT level to the opportunity of the asset plunging to that degree within the coming months.
ChatGPT famous that Bitcoin’s momentum is fading after failing to carry above $110,000, with the RSI cooling to impartial and the value hovering simply above its 200-day transferring common (MA) close to $87,000, an indication the pattern is dropping steam.
On the macro aspect, the AI highlighted the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on charge cuts and tightening liquidity as potential drags on danger property, whereas rising trade inflows recommend rising promote strain from buyers.
In accordance with ChatGPT, a drop to $50,000 would possible stem from a mixture of tightening liquidity, ETF outflows, institutional profit-taking, and a break under key helps at $87,000 and $80,0000 a setup that might set off panic promoting much like 2018 and 2022.
If these dangers align, the AI mannequin sees the April–August 2026 window as probably the most possible time for such a crash, in line with Bitcoin’s historic sample of peaking 12–18 months after a halving. From a projected high close to $130,000 to $150,000, a typical 60% to 70% correction would carry costs close to $50,000.
Nonetheless, ChatGPT cautioned that if macro situations stay steady, Bitcoin might as an alternative see a milder pullback to the $70,000 and $80,000 vary earlier than resuming its subsequent uptrend.
Bitcoin’s technical outlook
On the similar time, the opportunity of Bitcoin crashing to $50,000 can be supported by technical indicators. On this context, cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez advised in an X put up on November 11 that Bitcoin’s subsequent main market backside might happen in roughly 328 days, putting the timeline round October 2026.
In accordance with his outlook, Bitcoin seems to be following a cyclical sample much like earlier market cycles, the place peaks are adopted by extended drawdowns lasting over a 12 months earlier than restoration begins.
The projected backside vary of $38,000 to $50,000 aligns with historic retracement ranges seen after earlier bull runs.
The evaluation implies that Bitcoin might proceed to face gradual draw back strain as the present cycle matures, doubtlessly marking the top of its post-halving rally section.
Bitcoin worth evaluation
At press time, Bitcoin was buying and selling at $103,411, having dropped about 1.4% up to now 24 hours, whereas on the weekly timeline, BTC has gained 1.3%.
Bitcoin’s worth now sits under each the 50-day Easy Shifting Common (SMA) at $112,216 and the 200-day SMA at $105,751, confirming a bearish short- to medium-term pattern.
The 50-day SMA appearing as overhead resistance reinforces downward strain, whereas the minor cushion above the 200-day SMA retains the long-term uptrend technically alive however fragile.
In the meantime, the 14-day RSI at 47.76 (impartial) exhibits no momentum extremes, neither oversold sufficient for a robust bounce nor overbought to justify additional promoting.
Featured picture through Shutterstock
