Establishing a nationwide Bitcoin (BTC) strategic reserve might create unfavorable market impacts for BTC and the US greenback, in response to Haider Rafique, world managing companion for presidency and investor relations at crypto alternate OKX.
Rafique advised Cointelegraph that any authorities holding important parts of the BTC provide might manipulate costs by dumping its holdings onto the market, thereby disrupting the core proposition of BTC as impartial, decentralized cash.
He requested: “What occurs in just a few years if a brand new administration decides this was a nasty thought?” Rafique added:
“Regardless of latest bipartisan assist for crypto, it’s important to keep in mind that administrative insurance policies can change rapidly. As circumstances change over time, the focus of enormous quantities of BTC on a rustic’s steadiness sheet might signify a liquidation threat.”
A breakdown of nation-state publicity to Bitcoin. Supply: Bitcoin Coverage Institute
The German authorities was an instance of this in 2024 when it unloaded 50,000 BTC, which stored costs suppressed under the $60,000 stage, Rafique mentioned.
The Bitcoin strategic reserve continues to be top-of-mind for a lot of Bitcoin advocates, who say that establishing such a nation-state-level BTC treasury is the subsequent step to creating Bitcoin the worldwide reserve forex and the usual financial unit of account.
Associated: US lawmakers faucet Saylor, Lee to advance Bitcoin reserve invoice
Dangers to the US greenback and different monetary markets
Establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve might create a contagion that wouldn’t simply be restricted to crypto markets and would have widespread macroeconomic results, Rafique advised Cointelegraph.
“Probably the most important macroeconomic implication can be a lack of confidence within the greenback,” he mentioned.
Constructing a Bitcoin reserve indicators that the US greenback, which underpins the worldwide economic system, is weak and can’t maintain its worth on financial power alone, he added.
This might ship shockwaves by way of the whole monetary system as traders flee the US greenback for safe-haven belongings resembling gold or the Swiss franc, Rafique mentioned.
Traders would additionally dump risk-on belongings, making a cascade of liquidations throughout monetary markets that may seemingly culminate in a major crash, as markets reply to the seismic shift in world finance, he concluded.
Journal: US dangers being ‘entrance run’ on Bitcoin reserve by different nations: Samson Mow
