Multi-timeframe evaluation
Every day (D1)
Value vs EMA: Shut at 3319.99 USDT is beneath the 20 EMA (3821.45), 50 EMA (3998.39) and 200 EMA (3609.51). This alignment reveals that the pattern is tilted away from consumers on the each day chart.
RSI: 30.83 1 beneath 50 and close to the 30 zone, which means a bearish bias with potential oversold situations rising.
MACD: Line -162.93 beneath sign -107.47; histogram -55.46 damaging 1 momentum is bearish and accelerating to the draw back.
Bollinger Bands: Center 3845.59, decrease 3419.41; the worth sits beneath the decrease band, indicating volatility growth and a powerful draw back impulse.
ATR: 207.97 1 each day volatility is materials; use this for stop-sizing and count on broad each day strikes.
Pivot: PP 3280.42, R1 3394.17, S1 3206.23 1 value is barely above PP, so intraday reactions might pivot round 3280.42.
Interpretation: The D1 image is impartial by regime however leans bearish 1 bears have the sting for now and volatility is elevated.
Hourly (H1)
Value vs EMA: Shut 3320.24 is beneath the 20 EMA (3351.42), 50 EMA (3478.16) and 200 EMA (3734.94), preserving the intraday construction weak.
RSI: 40.76 1 below 50, so intraday bias favors sellers however isnt deeply oversold.
MACD: Line -54.66 above sign -71.66; histogram +16.99 1 short-term momentum reveals a attainable reduction bounce.
Bollinger: Mid 3332.93 1 value sits slightly below the mid-band, suggesting range-bound intraday conduct except momentum picks up.
ATR: 69.52 1 shorter-term strikes are smaller; contemplate this when tightening threat intraday.
Interpretation: H1 is blended 1 momentum reveals short-lived bullish stress, however the construction stays weak.
15-minute (M15)
Micro construction: Shut 3322.01 sits on the 20 EMA 3320.18 and close to the 50 EMA 3321.00; this means short-term compression.
RSI: 51.92 1 impartial, which helps a small intraday stability between consumers and sellers.
MACD: Line 9.74 beneath sign 11.92; histogram -2.17 1 short-term momentum is fading after a small push up.
Bollinger: Mid 3330.06, bands tight 1 indicators of short-term consolidation that may precede a breakout.
ATR: 18.76 1 count on small-range strikes on M15; use tight intraday stops.
Interpretation: M15 reveals compression and short-term indecision; a breakout from this micro-range may outline the subsequent intraday leg.
Synthesis: D1 regime is impartial with bearish tilt whereas H1 and M15 are mixed-to-neutral. Total construction requires warning and selective entries.
Buying and selling situations
Impartial (fundamental – D1)
Set off: Maintain and shut on D1 between PP 3280.42 and S1 3206.23 for consolidation.
Goal: Vary goal close to R1 3394.17 if intraday consumers step in.
Invalidation: Every day shut beneath S1 3206.23 would negate this impartial consolidation.
Threat: Use stops 0.5 6.01 ATR (104.00 207.97 USDT) to account for D1 volatility.
Bullish
Set off: Every day reclaim above EMA200 3609.51 after which EMA20 3821.45.
Goal: 3998.39 USDT (EMA50) then 4271.77 USDT (Bollinger higher) if momentum holds.
Invalidation: Failure to carry above 3609.51 on a each day shut.
Threat: Stops 0.5 6.01 ATR (104.00 207.97 USDT); volatility may set off broad stops.
Bearish
Set off: Every day shut again beneath PP 3280.42 and momentum continuation on MACD.
Goal: S1 3206.23 then decrease if promoting stress extends.
Invalidation: Fast reclaim above 3319.99 and H1 MACD fading of bearish momentum.
Threat: Stops 0.5 6.01 ATR (104.00 207.97 USDT); count on sharp strikes throughout breakdowns.
